Who to start · 2025-26
Mitch Marner vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.
Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Marner has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Harley's 2.2.
Mitch Marner has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Marner's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.2, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Fenwick 55.3%.
Harley's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.38, 20+ mph bursts 50, Faceoffs won 0.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mitch Marner
1.88
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marner | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.52 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.67 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.28 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marner vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marner 3G 6A, 21 SOG · Harley 0G 2A, 13 SOG
On the ice against each other (Marner's side)
20:22 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Marner's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–18
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–0.9
- 56.4%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marner | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | VGK 3–2 DAL | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-10 | VGK 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-01-29 | VGK 4–5 DAL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-14 | TOR 1–4 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-02-07 | TOR 5–4 DAL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-10-26 | TOR 4–1 DAL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-07 | TOR 4–3 DAL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-15 | TOR 4–0 DAL | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RW
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 11th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mitch Marner or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mitch Marner or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marner and Harley done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Marner's team went 5–3. Marner had 9 points (3 goals) and Harley had 2 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →