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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Darnell Nurse

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Darnell Nurse projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Nurse had 24 in 82 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left; Nurse has 1 left. We project Larsson for 3.3 ESPN points to Nurse's 1.8.

Darnell Nurse has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Luck Meter +38, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.043, Plus/minus 0.

Nurse's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.2, Offensive-zone start % 53.0%, Transition attempts /60 0.90.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Darnell Nurse

1.83

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Darnell Nurse has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonNurse
Goals (+2)0.160.16
Assists (+1)0.210.19
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.19
Hits (+0.1)0.160.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.991.11

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Nurse

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonNurse
3Team record in 18 meetings15
5Points in those games7

Larsson 0G 5A, 24 SOG · Nurse 2G 5A, 40 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other2

Larsson blocked 3 of Nurse's shots; Nurse blocked 2 of Larsson's.

2Goals set up by the other1

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

20:56 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
21–14
60.0%
Expected goals
0.4–0.8
34.6%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Darnell Nurse
DateScoreLarssonNurse
2026-03-31SEA 0–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2025-12-04SEA 4–9 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-29SEA 0–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-25SEA 3–2 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-27SEA 6–1 EDM0G 2A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-22SEA 4–5 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2025-01-27SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-04SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-02SEA 1–2 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-18SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-15SEA 3–4 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-11SEA 1–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonNurse

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.6 pts
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.6 pts

Darnell Nurse

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.8 pts

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Darnell Nurse in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Darnell Nurse projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Nurse had 24 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Darnell Nurse?
On 2025-26 numbers, Darnell Nurse leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Nurse done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 3–15. Larsson had 5 points (0 goals) and Nurse had 7 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →