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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Evan Bouchard

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Bouchard had 95 in 82 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Bouchard has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Bouchard's 1.9.

Evan Bouchard has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Hits 110, Blocked shots 163, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.043.

Bouchard's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.6%, High-danger chances 57.1%, Sequence xG 58.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Evan Bouchard

3.14

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonBouchard
Goals (+2)0.160.92
Assists (+1)0.211.03
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.30
Hits (+0.1)0.160.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.63

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Bouchard

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonBouchard
4Team record in 19 meetings15
6Points in those games15

Larsson 1G 5A, 26 SOG · Bouchard 3G 12A, 30 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other2

Larsson blocked 3 of Bouchard's shots; Bouchard blocked 2 of Larsson's.

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

34:20 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
30–36
45.5%
Expected goals
1.3–1.9
41.4%
Goals
3–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Evan Bouchard
DateScoreLarssonBouchard
2026-03-31SEA 0–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-04SEA 4–9 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 3A 1S
2025-11-29SEA 0–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2025-10-25SEA 3–2 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-27SEA 6–1 EDM0G 2A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-22SEA 4–5 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-27SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-04SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2024-03-02SEA 1–2 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-18SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-15SEA 3–4 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 3A 1S
2023-11-11SEA 1–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonBouchard

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Evan Bouchard in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Bouchard had 95 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Evan Bouchard?
On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Bouchard done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 4–15. Larsson had 6 points (1 goals) and Bouchard had 15 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →