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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Jared Spurgeon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Spurgeon had 22 in 79 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Spurgeon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Spurgeon's 1.1.

Jared Spurgeon has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 42, Luck Meter +38, Hardest shot 98.4.

Spurgeon's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Offensive-zone time 42.2%, High-danger chances 51.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Jared Spurgeon

1.55

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Larsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonSpurgeon
Goals (+2)0.160.14
Assists (+1)0.210.25
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.11
Hits (+0.1)0.160.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.91

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Spurgeon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonSpurgeon
6Team record in 18 meetings12
4Points in those games11

Larsson 3G 1A, 29 SOG · Spurgeon 5G 6A, 31 SOG

1Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other3

Larsson blocked 2 of Spurgeon's shots; Spurgeon blocked 3 of Larsson's.

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

15:03 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
21–10
67.7%
Expected goals
0.7–0.6
56.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Jared Spurgeon
DateScoreLarssonSpurgeon
2026-04-07SEA 2–5 MIN1G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S
2026-01-08SEA 2–3 MIN1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-12-08SEA 1–4 MIN0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-19SEA 0–4 MIN0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-04SEA 3–4 MIN1G 0A 1S1G 1A 1S
2024-10-12SEA 5–4 MIN0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2023-12-10SEA 0–3 MIN0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-27SEA 1–5 MIN0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2022-11-11SEA 0–1 MIN0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-03SEA 4–0 MIN0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2022-04-22SEA 3–6 MIN0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-11-13SEA 2–4 MIN0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonSpurgeon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Jared Spurgeon

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.1 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Jared Spurgeon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Spurgeon had 22 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Jared Spurgeon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jared Spurgeon leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Spurgeon done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 6–12. Larsson had 4 points (3 goals) and Spurgeon had 11 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →