Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Larsson vs Matt Roy
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.
Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games.
This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Roy has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Roy's 1.8.
Matt Roy has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Larsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Luck Meter +38, Penalty minutes 42.
Roy's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18, High-danger chances 51.5%, Fenwick 50.9%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Larsson
1.64
fantasy points per game
Matt Roy
1.54
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adam Larsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larsson | Roy |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.99 | 1.02 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larsson vs Roy
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larsson 2G 4A, 25 SOG · Roy 0G 4A, 19 SOG
Larsson blocked 1 of Roy's shots; Roy blocked 1 of Larsson's.
On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)
6:46 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–9
- 35.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.4
- 38.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larsson | Roy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 | SEA 1–4 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-09 | SEA 2–4 WSH | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-23 | SEA 0–3 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-03 | SEA 2–5 LAK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-20 | SEA 2–1 LAK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-16 | SEA 2–3 LAK | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-01 | SEA 1–3 LAK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-11-29 | SEA 9–8 LAK | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-19 | SEA 3–2 LAK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-10-13 | SEA 4–1 LAK | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-04-27 | SEA 3–5 LAK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-01-15 | SEA 1–3 LAK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Larsson
3games (2 left)
3.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Matt Roy
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Larsson or Matt Roy in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Larsson or Matt Roy?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Roy leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larsson and Roy done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 7–9. Larsson had 6 points (2 goals) and Roy had 4 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →