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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Mattias Ekholm

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left; Ekholm has 1 left. We project Larsson for 3.1 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.4.

Mattias Ekholm has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Luck Meter +38, Hits 110.

Ekholm's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.7%, High-danger chances 58.3%, Corsi 56.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Mattias Ekholm

1.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Larsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonEkholm
Goals (+2)0.160.13
Assists (+1)0.210.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.15
Hits (+0.1)0.160.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Ekholm

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonEkholm
8Team record in 23 meetings15
2Points in those games15

Larsson 1G 1A, 29 SOG · Ekholm 2G 13A, 35 SOG

4Shots blocked by the other0

Larsson blocked 4 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 0 of Larsson's.

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

32:05 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
26–36
41.9%
Expected goals
1.3–2.1
39.2%
Goals
3–1

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Mattias Ekholm
DateScoreLarssonEkholm
2026-03-31SEA 0–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-04SEA 4–9 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 2A 0S
2025-11-29SEA 0–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-25SEA 3–2 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-22SEA 4–5 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-27SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 0S1G 1A 5S
2025-01-04SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-02SEA 1–2 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-18SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-15SEA 3–4 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2023-11-11SEA 1–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-18SEA 4–6 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 3A 1S

Latest 12 of 23 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonEkholm

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.5 pts
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.5 pts

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.4 pts

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Mattias Ekholm?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Ekholm leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Ekholm done against each other?
In 23 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 8–15. Larsson had 2 points (1 goals) and Ekholm had 15 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →