Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Ovechkin vs Matt Boldy

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84.

Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Boldy had 85 in 76 games.

This week Ovechkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Boldy has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Ovechkin for 1.9 ESPN points to Boldy's 1.8.

Matt Boldy has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ovechkin's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 98.1%, Forecheck xG /60 0.31, Hits 134.

Boldy's biggest edges: Goals above expected +8.7, Blocked shots 58, Luck Meter +68.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Ovechkin

1.84

fantasy points per game

Matt Boldy

2.55

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromOvechkinBoldy
Goals (+2)0.731.04
Assists (+1)0.430.53
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.19
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.03
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.34
Hits (+0.1)0.160.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.36

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ovechkin vs Boldy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

OvechkinBoldy
1Team record in 8 meetings7
9Points in those games8

Ovechkin 4G 5A, 28 SOG · Boldy 5G 3A, 20 SOG

2Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Ovechkin blocked 0 of Boldy's shots; Boldy blocked 1 of Ovechkin's.

On the ice against each other (Ovechkin's side)

4:55 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ovechkin's side

Shot attempts
2–4
33.3%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
38.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Ovechkin and Matt Boldy
DateScoreOvechkinBoldy
2025-12-16WSH 0–5 MIN0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2025-10-17WSH 5–1 MIN1G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-27WSH 2–4 MIN0G 0A 3S1G 1A 1S
2025-01-02WSH 3–4 MIN1G 0A 4S0G 0A 5S
2024-01-23WSH 3–5 MIN0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2023-03-19WSH 3–5 MIN2G 1A 8S3G 0A 6S
2023-01-17WSH 2–4 MIN0G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-01-08WSH 2–3 MIN0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

OvechkinBoldy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Ovechkin

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Matt Boldy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Ovechkin or Matt Boldy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84. Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Boldy had 85 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Ovechkin or Matt Boldy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Boldy leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ovechkin and Boldy done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Ovechkin's team went 1–7. Ovechkin had 9 points (4 goals) and Boldy had 8 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →