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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Ovechkin vs Noah Dobson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84.

Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.

This week Ovechkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Ovechkin for 1.9 ESPN points to Dobson's 1.6.

Alex Ovechkin has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ovechkin's biggest edges: High-danger chances 50.3%, Hardest shot 97.3, Offensive-zone start % 98.1%.

Dobson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 188, 20+ mph bursts 65.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Ovechkin

1.84

fantasy points per game

Noah Dobson

2.17

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromOvechkinDobson
Goals (+2)0.730.28
Assists (+1)0.430.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.19
Hits (+0.1)0.160.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.121.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ovechkin vs Dobson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

OvechkinDobson
11Team record in 19 meetings8
19Points in those games5

Ovechkin 13G 6A, 69 SOG · Dobson 1G 4A, 30 SOG

5Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other2

Ovechkin blocked 2 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 2 of Ovechkin's.

On the ice against each other (Ovechkin's side)

17:39 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Ovechkin's side

Shot attempts
25–14
64.1%
Expected goals
1.5–0.6
72.6%
Goals
3–2

Games against each other

Games between Alex Ovechkin and Noah Dobson
DateScoreOvechkinDobson
2026-02-28WSH 2–6 MTL2G 0A 6S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-13WSH 3–2 MTL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-20WSH 8–4 MTL3G 1A 3S0G 1A 0S
2025-04-15WSH 3–1 NYI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-04-06WSH 1–4 NYI1G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-29WSH 1–5 NYI0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2023-12-20WSH 3–2 NYI0G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2023-11-11WSH 4–1 NYI2G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2023-11-02WSH 0–3 NYI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-29WSH 1–2 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-11WSH 5–1 NYI0G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-16WSH 4–3 NYI0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

OvechkinDobson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Ovechkin

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Noah Dobson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Ovechkin or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84. Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Ovechkin or Noah Dobson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Ovechkin leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ovechkin and Dobson done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Ovechkin's team went 11–8. Ovechkin had 19 points (13 goals) and Dobson had 5 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →