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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexander Wennberg vs Noah Cates

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexander Wennberg projects to 1.69 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

Wennberg had 55 points in 80 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week Wennberg has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Cates has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wennberg for 1.6 ESPN points to Cates's 1.5.

Alexander Wennberg has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Wennberg's biggest edges: Ascension score 51, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37, Hardest shot 89.2.

Cates's biggest edges: Plus/minus +26, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.031, On-ice PDO 1026.

Head to head on the dot, Wennberg leads Cates 12–11.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexander Wennberg

1.69

fantasy points per game

Noah Cates

1.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alexander Wennberg has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWennbergCates
Goals (+2)0.420.39
Assists (+1)0.430.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.16
Hits (+0.1)0.040.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.580.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Wennberg vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WennbergCates
2Team record in 8 meetings6
3Points in those games6

Wennberg 0G 3A, 9 SOG · Cates 3G 3A, 13 SOG

12Faceoffs against each other11

Wennberg's offensive zone 6–4 · neutral 3–4 · Wennberg's defensive zone 3–3 (2022-23 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Wennberg's side)

6:58 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Wennberg's side

Shot attempts
8–5
61.5%
Expected goals
0.4–0.1
76.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexander Wennberg and Noah Cates
DateScoreWennbergCates
2026-03-21SJS 1–4 PHI0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2025-12-09SJS 1–4 PHI0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2024-12-31SJS 0–4 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2024-11-11SJS 3–4 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-11NYR 1–4 PHI0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-02-10SEA 2–3 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-16SEA 6–2 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2023-02-12SEA 4–3 PHI0G 2A 1S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WennbergCates

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexander Wennberg

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.6 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Alexander Wennberg or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexander Wennberg projects to 1.69 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Wennberg had 55 points in 80 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexander Wennberg or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alexander Wennberg leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Wennberg and Cates done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Wennberg's team went 2–6. Wennberg had 3 points (0 goals) and Cates had 6 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Wennberg or Cates?
Against each other, Wennberg has won 12 and Cates 11 of their 23 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →