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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexandre Carrier vs Colton Parayko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Parayko's 1.73.

Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Parayko had 18 in 77 games.

This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Parayko has 1 left. We project Parayko for 2.0 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.

Colton Parayko has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carrier's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.9, Luck Meter +64, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.033.

Parayko's biggest edges: Hardest shot 95.1, 20+ mph bursts 94, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.14.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexandre Carrier

1.73

fantasy points per game

Colton Parayko

1.73

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alexandre Carrier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarrierParayko
Goals (+2)0.300.10
Assists (+1)0.260.23
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.090.14
Hits (+0.1)0.050.12
Blocks (+0.5)1.031.14

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carrier vs Parayko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarrierParayko
4Team record in 10 meetings6
4Points in those games5

Carrier 0G 4A, 12 SOG · Parayko 0G 5A, 13 SOG

On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)

8:38 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side

Shot attempts
10–3
76.9%
Expected goals
0.5–0.1
83.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexandre Carrier and Colton Parayko
DateScoreCarrierParayko
2026-01-03MTL 0–2 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-07MTL 3–4 STL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2024-04-04NSH 6–3 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-17NSH 5–2 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-24NSH 8–3 STL0G 2A 1S0G 0A 4S
2023-01-19NSH 2–5 STL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-27NSH 6–2 STL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2022-04-17NSH 3–8 STL0G 0A 3S0G 2A 1S
2022-03-12NSH 4–7 STL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-17NSH 3–5 STL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarrierParayko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexandre Carrier

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Colton Parayko

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Likely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B2.0 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Colton Parayko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Parayko's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Parayko had 18 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Colton Parayko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Colton Parayko leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carrier and Parayko done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 4–6. Carrier had 4 points (0 goals) and Parayko had 5 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →