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Who to start · 2025-26

Colton Parayko vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Colton Parayko projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Parayko had 18 points in 77 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Parayko has 1 game left; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Parayko for 2.0 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Ivan Provorov has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Parayko's biggest edges: Hits 95, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.14, Forecheck xG /60 0.38.

Provorov's biggest edges: Goals above expected +0.7, Plus/minus +14, Luck Meter +2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Colton Parayko

1.66

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Colton Parayko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromParaykoProvorov
Goals (+2)0.100.22
Assists (+1)0.180.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.19
Hits (+0.1)0.120.03
Blocks (+0.5)1.120.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Parayko vs Provorov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ParaykoProvorov
3Team record in 13 meetings10
3Points in those games7

Parayko 3G 0A, 25 SOG · Provorov 0G 7A, 24 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other1

Parayko blocked 2 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 1 of Parayko's.

On the ice against each other (Parayko's side)

13:03 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Parayko's side

Shot attempts
11–8
57.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.0
87.5%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Colton Parayko and Ivan Provorov
DateScoreParaykoProvorov
2026-01-31STL 3–5 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2025-11-01STL 2–3 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-11STL 1–2 CBJ1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-04STL 4–6 CBJ1G 0A 1S0G 3A 2S
2024-01-30STL 0–1 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-08STL 2–5 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-04STL 4–2 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-08STL 1–5 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2022-03-24STL 2–5 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-02-22STL 4–1 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2019-01-07STL 3–0 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2018-01-06STL 3–6 PHI1G 0A 5S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ParaykoProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Colton Parayko

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to DLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B2.0 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Colton Parayko or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Colton Parayko projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Parayko had 18 points in 77 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Colton Parayko or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Provorov leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Parayko and Provorov done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Parayko's team went 3–10. Parayko had 3 points (3 goals) and Provorov had 7 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →