Who to start · 2025-26
Eeli Tolvanen vs Ivan Provorov
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.
This week Tolvanen has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tolvanen for 2.8 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
Ivan Provorov has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Blocked shots 81, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010.
Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Plus/minus +14, High-danger chances 52.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eeli Tolvanen
1.64
fantasy points per game
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Eeli Tolvanen has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tolvanen | Provorov |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.52 | 0.82 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Provorov
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tolvanen 5G 2A, 21 SOG · Provorov 2G 4A, 12 SOG
Tolvanen blocked 2 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 2 of Tolvanen's.
On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)
8:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–9
- 47.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.4
- 39.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tolvanen | Provorov |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | SEA 2–5 CBJ | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-11 | SEA 1–2 CBJ | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-09 | SEA 2–6 CBJ | 2G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-11-12 | SEA 5–2 CBJ | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-28 | SEA 4–2 CBJ | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-13 | SEA 7–4 CBJ | 1G 0A 5S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2023-02-16 | SEA 6–2 PHI | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-02-12 | SEA 4–3 PHI | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-10-22 | NSH 1–3 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-03-27 | NSH 5–4 PHI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-17 | NSH 4–5 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (2 left)
2.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B1.5 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Ivan Provorov?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Provorov leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tolvanen and Provorov done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 6–5. Tolvanen had 7 points (5 goals) and Provorov had 6 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →