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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Vince Dunn

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Vince Dunn has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Blocked shots 81, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010.

Dunn's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Offensive-zone time 43.7%, Goals 11.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Vince Dunn

1.83

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vince Dunn has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenDunn
Goals (+2)0.480.38
Assists (+1)0.260.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.22
Hits (+0.1)0.240.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.53

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Dunn

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenDunn
0Team record in 2 meetings2
2Points in those games1

Tolvanen 1G 1A, 7 SOG · Dunn 0G 1A, 4 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other0

Tolvanen blocked 3 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 0 of Tolvanen's.

14Goals set up by the other5

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

374:28 at 5-on-5 over 77 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
342–425
44.6%
Expected goals
12.6–15.7
44.5%
Goals
15–18

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Vince Dunn
DateScoreTolvanenDunn
2022-03-02NSH 3–4 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2021-10-14NSH 3–4 SEA1G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenDunn

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Vince Dunn

3games (2 left)

3.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Vince Dunn?
On 2025-26 numbers, Vince Dunn leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Dunn done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 0–2. Tolvanen had 2 points (1 goals) and Dunn had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →