Who to start · 2025-26
Ivan Provorov vs Mario Ferraro
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.
This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Ferraro for 1.6 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
Ivan Provorov has the better number in 25 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Provorov's biggest edges: Corsi 50.3%, Power-play share 30.6%, Transition attempts /60 0.49.
Ferraro's biggest edges: Hits 137, Luck Meter +50, Goals above expected +2.7.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Mario Ferraro
1.56
fantasy points per game
Dead even under ESPN default points.
| Points per game from | Provorov | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.82 | 0.91 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Provorov vs Ferraro
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Provorov 1G 5A, 21 SOG · Ferraro 2G 3A, 15 SOG
Provorov blocked 1 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 0 of Provorov's.
On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)
13:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–10
- 60.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–0.4
- 74.6%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Provorov | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | CBJ 2–3 SJS | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-01-06 | CBJ 2–5 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-16 | CBJ 4–1 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-05 | CBJ 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-16 | CBJ 4–2 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-02-17 | CBJ 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-12-29 | PHI 4–3 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-10-23 | PHI 0–3 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2020-02-25 | PHI 4–2 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-12-28 | PHI 1–6 SJS | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Mario Ferraro
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ivan Provorov or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Mario Ferraro?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Provorov leads in 25 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Provorov and Ferraro done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 5–5. Provorov had 6 points (1 goals) and Ferraro had 5 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →