Who to start · 2025-26
Alexandre Carrier vs Elias Pettersson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.
Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Pettersson had 51 in 74 games.
This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Pettersson has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.
Elias Pettersson has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Carrier's biggest edges: Luck Meter +57, Goals above expected +3.6, Plus/minus +2.
Pettersson's biggest edges: Power-play share 72.8%, Hardest shot 91.8, Power-play time per game 3:05.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexandre Carrier
1.73
fantasy points per game
Elias Pettersson
2.34
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Elias Pettersson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Carrier | Pettersson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.30 | 0.59 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.55 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.03 | 0.70 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Carrier vs Pettersson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Carrier 3G 6A, 19 SOG · Pettersson 9G 6A, 40 SOG
Carrier blocked 5 of Pettersson's shots; Pettersson blocked 2 of Carrier's.
On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)
7:24 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–9
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.4
- 32.4%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Carrier | Pettersson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | MTL 6–3 VAN | 2G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-25 | MTL 4–3 VAN | 0G 2A 2S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2025-03-11 | MTL 4–2 VAN | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-11-17 | NSH 5–3 VAN | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-03 · PO | NSH 0–1 VAN | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-04-30 · PO | NSH 2–1 VAN | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-28 · PO | NSH 3–4 VAN | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-04-26 · PO | NSH 1–2 VAN | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-04-23 · PO | NSH 4–1 VAN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-21 · PO | NSH 2–4 VAN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-19 | NSH 2–5 VAN | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2023-10-31 | NSH 2–5 VAN | 0G 0A 0S | 3G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alexandre Carrier
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Elias Pettersson
4games (2 left)
3.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ EDMOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs EDMOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Elias Pettersson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Pettersson had 51 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Elias Pettersson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Elias Pettersson leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Carrier and Pettersson done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 8–8. Carrier had 9 points (3 goals) and Pettersson had 15 (9 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →

