Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Alexandre Carrier vs Jake McCabe

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake McCabe projects to 1.75 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.

Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; McCabe had 25 in 80 games.

This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; McCabe has 1 left. We project McCabe for 1.7 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.

Jake McCabe has the better number in 16 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carrier's biggest edges: Ascension score 65, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Luck Meter +57.

McCabe's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.7, Hits 104, Power-play time per game 0:17.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexandre Carrier

1.73

fantasy points per game

Jake McCabe

1.75

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake McCabe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarrierMcCabe
Goals (+2)0.300.11
Assists (+1)0.260.22
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.090.10
Hits (+0.1)0.050.13
Blocks (+0.5)1.031.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carrier vs McCabe

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarrierMcCabe
8Team record in 12 meetings4
6Points in those games1

Carrier 2G 4A, 15 SOG · McCabe 0G 1A, 14 SOG

0Hits on each other3

On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)

19:42 at 5-on-5 over 5 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Carrier's side

Shot attempts
21–19
52.5%
Expected goals
0.8–0.5
62.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexandre Carrier and Jake McCabe
DateScoreCarrierMcCabe
2026-09-29MTL 3–2 TOR1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-10MTL 3–1 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-06MTL 2–1 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-22MTL 5–2 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-08MTL 2–5 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-18MTL 3–7 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-09NSH 0–4 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-21NSH 4–2 CHI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-16NSH 4–3 CHI0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2022-01-01NSH 6–1 CHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2021-12-17NSH 3–2 CHI0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-07NSH 1–2 CHI1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarrierMcCabe

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexandre Carrier

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Jake McCabe

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Jake McCabe in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake McCabe projects to 1.75 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; McCabe had 25 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Jake McCabe?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake McCabe leads in 16 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carrier and McCabe done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 8–4. Carrier had 6 points (2 goals) and McCabe had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →