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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexandre Carrier vs Kirill Marchenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.

Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.

This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.

Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carrier's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +3.6, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.033.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 73.4%, Power-play share 77.5%, Power-play time per game 2:58.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexandre Carrier

1.73

fantasy points per game

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Marchenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarrierMarchenko
Goals (+2)0.300.63
Assists (+1)0.260.52
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.090.29
Hits (+0.1)0.050.11
Blocks (+0.5)1.030.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carrier vs Marchenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarrierMarchenko
6Team record in 8 meetings2
5Points in those games7

Carrier 2G 3A, 13 SOG · Marchenko 2G 5A, 23 SOG

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other1

Carrier blocked 1 of Marchenko's shots; Marchenko blocked 1 of Carrier's.

On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)

16:23 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Carrier's side

Shot attempts
10–13
43.5%
Expected goals
0.1–0.7
17.7%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexandre Carrier and Kirill Marchenko
DateScoreCarrierMarchenko
2026-09-29MTL 3–2 TOR1G 1A 3S0G 1A 4S
2026-03-26MTL 2–1 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-17MTL 3–4 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 2A 0S
2024-12-23MTL 4–5 CBJ0G 1A 2S1G 2A 4S
2024-10-26NSH 4–3 CBJ1G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-04-13NSH 6–4 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-09NSH 2–1 CBJ0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-17NSH 2–1 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarrierMarchenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexandre Carrier

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Kirill Marchenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carrier and Marchenko done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 6–2. Carrier had 5 points (2 goals) and Marchenko had 7 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →