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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexandre Carrier vs Kyle Connor

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.

Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.

This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Connor has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.

Kyle Connor has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carrier's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 155, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.

Connor's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.2%, Hardest shot 90.9, Power-play share 66.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexandre Carrier

1.73

fantasy points per game

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarrierConnor
Goals (+2)0.301.02
Assists (+1)0.260.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.090.37
Hits (+0.1)0.050.05
Blocks (+0.5)1.030.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carrier vs Connor

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarrierConnor
8Team record in 13 meetings5
2Points in those games16

Carrier 0G 2A, 11 SOG · Connor 10G 6A, 64 SOG

1Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)

1:28 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side

Shot attempts
2–1
66.7%
Expected goals
0.1–0.0
78.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alexandre Carrier and Kyle Connor
DateScoreCarrierConnor
2026-02-04MTL 5–1 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 0A 6S
2025-12-03MTL 3–2 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2025-01-28MTL 1–4 WPG0G 0A 1S2G 0A 3S
2024-11-23NSH 4–1 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-09NSH 3–4 WPG0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2024-03-13NSH 4–2 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-26NSH 3–2 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 1A 6S
2023-11-09NSH 3–6 WPG0G 0A 1S3G 1A 7S
2023-01-24NSH 2–1 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2022-01-20NSH 5–2 WPG0G 1A 0S0G 1A 10S
2022-02-12NSH 2–5 WPG0G 1A 0S1G 1A 8S
2021-10-23NSH 4–6 WPG0G 0A 0S1G 1A 5S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarrierConnor

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexandre Carrier

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Kyle Connor?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carrier and Connor done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 8–5. Carrier had 2 points (0 goals) and Connor had 16 (10 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →