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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexandre Carrier vs Mikko Rantanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.

Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.

This week Carrier has 1 game left; Rantanen has 1 left. We project Rantanen for 2.3 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.6.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carrier's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.6, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.033, Faceoffs won 0.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Power-play share 82.8%, Power-play time per game 3:54, Offensive-zone start % 63.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexandre Carrier

1.73

fantasy points per game

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarrierRantanen
Goals (+2)0.300.64
Assists (+1)0.260.81
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.25
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.090.21
Hits (+0.1)0.050.08
Blocks (+0.5)1.030.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carrier vs Rantanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarrierRantanen
9Team record in 18 meetings9
10Points in those games22

Carrier 0G 10A, 22 SOG · Rantanen 9G 13A, 62 SOG

0Hits on each other6
0Shots blocked by the other1

Carrier blocked 0 of Rantanen's shots; Rantanen blocked 1 of Carrier's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)

11:16 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side

Shot attempts
9–8
52.9%
Expected goals
0.2–0.7
18.5%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexandre Carrier and Mikko Rantanen
DateScoreCarrierRantanen
2026-01-04MTL 4–3 DAL0G 1A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-11-13MTL 0–7 DAL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 3S
2025-02-25MTL 4–0 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-04MTL 2–1 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 7S
2024-11-11NSH 2–3 COL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2024-11-02NSH 5–2 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-02NSH 5–1 COL0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-20NSH 4–3 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-23NSH 2–3 COL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 13S
2022-11-10NSH 3–5 COL0G 0A 0S2G 1A 5S
2022-05-09 · PONSH 3–5 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2022-05-07 · PONSH 3–7 COL0G 2A 3S0G 2A 2S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarrierRantanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexandre Carrier

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.3 pts

FAQ

Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Mikko Rantanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carrier and Rantanen done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 9–9. Carrier had 10 points (0 goals) and Rantanen had 22 (9 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →