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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexandre Carrier vs Noah Cates

Alexandre CarrierAlexandre CarrierCanadiens · DefencevsNoah CatesNoah CatesFlyers · Left wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Cates has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Cates for 1.5 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.

Noah Cates has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carrier's biggest edges: Ascension score 65, Goals above expected +3.6, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.

Cates's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 58.9%, Power-play share 44.7%, Power-play time per game 2:02.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexandre Carrier

1.73

fantasy points per game

Noah Cates

1.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alexandre Carrier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarrierCates
Goals (+2)0.300.39
Assists (+1)0.260.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.090.16
Hits (+0.1)0.050.11
Blocks (+0.5)1.030.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carrier vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarrierCates
1Team record in 6 meetings5
1Points in those games1

Carrier 0G 1A, 4 SOG · Cates 0G 1A, 6 SOG

2Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)

9:39 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side

Shot attempts
6–10
37.5%
Expected goals
0.3–0.3
50.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alexandre Carrier and Noah Cates
DateScoreCarrierCates
2025-12-16MTL 1–4 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-04MTL 4–5 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2025-04-05MTL 3–2 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-27MTL 4–6 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-27NSH 2–3 PHI0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S
2022-10-22NSH 1–3 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarrierCates

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexandre Carrier

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alexandre Carrier projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Cates leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carrier and Cates done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 1–5. Carrier had 1 points (0 goals) and Cates had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →