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Who to start · 2025-26

Alexandre Carrier vs Tage Thompson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73.

Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.

This week Carrier has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to Carrier's 1.2.

Tage Thompson has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Carrier's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.6, Ascension score 65, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.

Thompson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.9, Power-play share 72.0%, Power-play time per game 3:29.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alexandre Carrier

1.73

fantasy points per game

Tage Thompson

2.26

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCarrierThompson
Goals (+2)0.300.93
Assists (+1)0.260.47
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.090.34
Hits (+0.1)0.050.10
Blocks (+0.5)1.030.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Carrier vs Thompson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CarrierThompson
8Team record in 14 meetings6
4Points in those games18

Carrier 1G 3A, 13 SOG · Thompson 9G 9A, 43 SOG

1Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other1

Carrier blocked 3 of Thompson's shots; Thompson blocked 1 of Carrier's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Carrier's side)

69:58 at 5-on-5 over 11 games, 2025-26, from Carrier's side

Shot attempts
62–76
44.9%
Expected goals
4.2–4.3
49.1%
Goals
6–5

Games against each other

Games between Alexandre Carrier and Tage Thompson
DateScoreCarrierThompson
2026-05-18 · POMTL 3–2 BUF0G 1A 1S0G 0A 5S
2026-05-16 · POMTL 3–8 BUF0G 0A 0S1G 3A 6S
2026-05-14 · POMTL 6–3 BUF0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2026-05-12 · POMTL 2–3 BUF0G 0A 0S1G 1A 2S
2026-05-10 · POMTL 6–2 BUF0G 1A 0S1G 1A 3S
2026-05-08 · POMTL 5–1 BUF1G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2026-05-06 · POMTL 2–4 BUF0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2026-01-31MTL 4–2 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S
2026-01-22MTL 2–4 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2026-01-15MTL 3–5 BUF0G 0A 0S3G 2A 3S
2025-10-20MTL 4–2 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-03-03MTL 4–3 BUF0G 0A 2S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CarrierThompson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alexandre Carrier

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.2 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Tage Thompson

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Alexandre Carrier or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexandre Carrier's 1.73. Carrier had 22 points in 73 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alexandre Carrier or Tage Thompson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Carrier and Thompson done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Carrier's team went 8–6. Carrier had 4 points (1 goals) and Thompson had 18 (9 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →