Who to start · 2025-26
Anthony Cirelli vs Christian Dvorak
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anthony Cirelli projects to 1.67 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.
Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games.
This week Cirelli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dvorak has 1 left. We project Cirelli for 1.2 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.1.
Anthony Cirelli has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Cirelli's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.0, Ascension score 55, Corsi 56.1%.
Dvorak's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.056, 20+ mph bursts 199, Faceoff win % 54.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Dvorak leads Cirelli 28–25.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Anthony Cirelli
1.67
fantasy points per game
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Anthony Cirelli has the edge.
| Points per game from | Cirelli | Dvorak |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.61 | 0.40 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Cirelli vs Dvorak
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Cirelli 6G 8A, 28 SOG · Dvorak 4G 3A, 21 SOG
Cirelli's offensive zone 6–10 · neutral 7–8 · Cirelli's defensive zone 12–10 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Cirelli blocked 1 of Dvorak's shots; Dvorak blocked 1 of Cirelli's.
On the ice against each other (Cirelli's side)
12:15 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Cirelli's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–6
- 70.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.1
- 90.4%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Cirelli | Dvorak |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | TBL 5–1 PHI | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-10 | TBL 7–2 PHI | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-11-24 | TBL 3–0 PHI | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-09 | TBL 5–3 MTL | 1G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-21 | TBL 2–3 MTL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-29 | TBL 2–5 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-07 | TBL 5–3 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-28 | TBL 4–1 MTL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-12-17 | TBL 5–1 MTL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-04-02 | TBL 4–5 MTL | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2021-12-07 | TBL 3–2 MTL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2020-02-22 | TBL 3–7 ARI | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Anthony Cirelli
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.2 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Anthony Cirelli or Christian Dvorak in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anthony Cirelli projects to 1.67 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Cirelli had 52 points in 71 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Anthony Cirelli or Christian Dvorak?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Anthony Cirelli leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Cirelli and Dvorak done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Cirelli's team went 10–5. Cirelli had 14 points (6 goals) and Dvorak had 7 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Cirelli or Dvorak?
- Against each other, Cirelli has won 25 and Dvorak 28 of their 53 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →