Who to start · 2025-26
Anthony Mantha vs Brock Nelson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67.
Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games.
This week Mantha has 1 game left; Nelson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Mantha for 1.4 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
Brock Nelson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Mantha's biggest edges: Luck Meter +74, Hardest shot 96.0, Offensive-zone start % 73.0%.
Nelson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.000, Scoring chances 58.3%, Corsi 57.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Anthony Mantha
1.67
fantasy points per game
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Mantha | Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.76 | 0.89 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Mantha vs Nelson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Mantha 7G 5A, 37 SOG · Nelson 6G 6A, 37 SOG
Mantha's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 1–0 · Mantha's defensive zone 0–0 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Mantha's side)
8:47 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Mantha's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–14
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.6
- 31.0%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Mantha | Nelson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | PIT 2–6 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-03-16 | PIT 7–2 COL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-29 | WSH 1–5 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-20 | WSH 3–2 NYI | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-02 | WSH 0–3 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-03-29 | WSH 1–2 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-03-11 | WSH 5–1 NYI | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-16 | WSH 4–3 NYI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-03-15 | WSH 4–3 NYI | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2022-04-28 | WSH 1–5 NYI | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2021-04-24 | WSH 6–3 NYI | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-04-22 | WSH 1–0 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Anthony Mantha
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.4 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Anthony Mantha or Brock Nelson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67. Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Anthony Mantha or Brock Nelson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Mantha and Nelson done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Mantha's team went 10–8. Mantha had 12 points (7 goals) and Nelson had 12 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Mantha or Nelson?
- Against each other, Mantha has won 1 and Nelson 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →