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Who to start · 2025-26

Anthony Mantha vs Bryan Rust

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67.

Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Rust had 65 in 72 games.

This week Mantha has 1 game left; Rust has 1 left. We project Rust for 2.2 ESPN points to Mantha's 1.4.

Bryan Rust has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Mantha's biggest edges: Hardest shot 96.0, Faceoffs won 14, Penalty minutes 43.

Rust's biggest edges: Ice-time share 32.7%, Ice time per game 19:57, Forecheck xG /60 0.32.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Anthony Mantha

1.78

fantasy points per game

Bryan Rust

2.28

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Bryan Rust has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromManthaRust
Goals (+2)0.810.81
Assists (+1)0.380.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.25
Hits (+0.1)0.060.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Mantha vs Rust

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ManthaRust
6Team record in 13 meetings7
3Points in those games5

Mantha 2G 1A, 31 SOG · Rust 5G 0A, 25 SOG

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Mantha blocked 0 of Rust's shots; Rust blocked 1 of Mantha's.

4Goals set up by the other2

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

38:17 at 5-on-5 over 11 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
25–50
33.3%
Expected goals
0.7–2.5
22.9%
Goals
2–2

Games against each other

Games between Anthony Mantha and Bryan Rust
DateScoreManthaRust
2024-10-22CGY 4–3 PIT0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2024-01-02WSH 4–3 PIT0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-13WSH 0–4 PIT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-25WSH 3–4 PIT0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-26WSH 3–2 PIT0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2022-11-09WSH 1–4 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-09WSH 6–3 PIT0G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2021-05-01WSH 0–3 PIT0G 0A 3S2G 0A 3S
2021-04-29WSH 4–5 PIT0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2020-02-16DET 1–5 PIT0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2019-04-04DET 1–4 PIT0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2019-04-02DET 4–1 PIT2G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ManthaRust

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Anthony Mantha

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.4 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Bryan Rust

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Anthony Mantha or Bryan Rust in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67. Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Rust had 65 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Anthony Mantha or Bryan Rust?
On 2025-26 numbers, Bryan Rust leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Mantha and Rust done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Mantha's team went 6–7. Mantha had 3 points (2 goals) and Rust had 5 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →