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Who to start · 2025-26

Anthony Mantha vs Connor Bedard

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67.

Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games.

This week Mantha has 1 game left; Bedard has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Mantha's 1.4.

Anthony Mantha has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Mantha's biggest edges: Plus/minus +10, High-danger chances 51.2%, Goals above expected +11.6.

Bedard's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005, Transition attempts /60 1.85, Ice-time share 34.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Anthony Mantha

1.78

fantasy points per game

Connor Bedard

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor Bedard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromManthaBedard
Goals (+2)0.810.87
Assists (+1)0.380.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.33
Hits (+0.1)0.060.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Mantha vs Bedard

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ManthaBedard
3Team record in 3 meetings0
4Points in those games3

Mantha 2G 2A, 6 SOG · Bedard 1G 2A, 17 SOG

On the ice against each other (Mantha's side)

4:41 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Mantha's side

Shot attempts
10–2
83.3%
Expected goals
0.7–0.0
100.0%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Anthony Mantha and Connor Bedard
DateScoreManthaBedard
2026-01-29PIT 6–2 CHI1G 2A 3S1G 0A 4S
2024-10-15CGY 3–1 CHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 7S
2023-12-10WSH 4–2 CHI1G 0A 2S0G 2A 6S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ManthaBedard

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Anthony Mantha

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.4 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Connor Bedard

3games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Anthony Mantha or Connor Bedard in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67. Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Anthony Mantha or Connor Bedard?
On 2025-26 numbers, Anthony Mantha leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Mantha and Bedard done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Mantha's team went 3–0. Mantha had 4 points (2 goals) and Bedard had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →