Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Anthony Mantha vs Leo Carlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67.

Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.

This week Mantha has 1 game left; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlsson for 1.6 ESPN points to Mantha's 1.4.

Leo Carlsson has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Mantha's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1032, Hardest shot 96.0, Hits 52.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Corsi 56.2%, Fenwick 56.3%, Faceoffs won 433.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Anthony Mantha

1.67

fantasy points per game

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromManthaCarlsson
Goals (+2)0.760.90
Assists (+1)0.360.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.26
Hits (+0.1)0.060.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Mantha vs Carlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ManthaCarlsson
2Team record in 4 meetings2
3Points in those games3

Mantha 3G 0A, 9 SOG · Carlsson 0G 3A, 4 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Mantha's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Mantha's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Mantha's side)

7:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Mantha's side

Shot attempts
8–4
66.7%
Expected goals
0.3–0.1
73.1%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Anthony Mantha and Leo Carlsson
DateScoreManthaCarlsson
2025-12-09PIT 3–4 ANA1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-14PIT 3–4 ANA1G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2024-01-16WSH 2–0 ANA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-30WSH 5–4 ANA1G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ManthaCarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Anthony Mantha

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.4 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

FAQ

Should I start Anthony Mantha or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Anthony Mantha's 1.67. Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Anthony Mantha or Leo Carlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Mantha and Carlsson done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Mantha's team went 2–2. Mantha had 3 points (3 goals) and Carlsson had 3 (0 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Mantha or Carlsson?
Against each other, Mantha has won 0 and Carlsson 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →