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Who to start · 2025-26

Anthony Mantha vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anthony Mantha projects to 1.67 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Mantha has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Toffoli for 1.5 ESPN points to Mantha's 1.4.

Anthony Mantha has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Mantha's biggest edges: Goals above expected +9.1, Top skating speed 22.9, Plus/minus +10.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Transition attempts /60 1.64, Offensive-zone time 45.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Anthony Mantha

1.67

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Anthony Mantha has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromManthaToffoli
Goals (+2)0.760.45
Assists (+1)0.360.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.21
Hits (+0.1)0.060.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Mantha vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ManthaToffoli
6Team record in 14 meetings8
13Points in those games14

Mantha 5G 8A, 34 SOG · Toffoli 6G 8A, 34 SOG

On the ice against each other (Mantha's side)

2:50 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Mantha's side

Shot attempts
1–6
14.3%
Expected goals
0.0–0.1
9.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Anthony Mantha and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreManthaToffoli
2025-12-13PIT 5–6 SJS1G 2A 2S2G 2A 5S
2025-10-18PIT 3–0 SJS1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-28VGK 4–1 WPG0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-20WSH 6–2 NJD0G 0A 0S0G 1A 6S
2024-01-03WSH 3–6 NJD0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-10-25WSH 6–4 NJD1G 1A 3S2G 1A 2S
2022-12-03WSH 2–5 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2022-11-25WSH 3–0 CGY0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-08WSH 5–4 CGY1G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2019-12-15DET 2–4 LAK0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S
2019-11-14DET 2–3 LAK0G 2A 2S0G 0A 2S
2018-10-07DET 2–4 LAK1G 0A 5S0G 2A 2S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ManthaToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Anthony Mantha

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.4 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Anthony Mantha or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anthony Mantha projects to 1.67 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Mantha had 64 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Anthony Mantha or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Anthony Mantha leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Mantha and Toffoli done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Mantha's team went 6–8. Mantha had 13 points (5 goals) and Toffoli had 14 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →