Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Artemi Panarin vs Leo Carlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Artemi Panarin's 2.00.

Panarin had 84 points in 78 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.

This week Panarin has 1 game left; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Panarin for 2.0 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.

Leo Carlsson has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Panarin's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1014, Hardest shot 89.5, High-danger chances 53.8%.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 433, Goals above expected +1.4, 20+ mph bursts 197.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Artemi Panarin

2.00

fantasy points per game

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPanarinCarlsson
Goals (+2)0.800.90
Assists (+1)0.670.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.26
Hits (+0.1)0.010.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.100.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Panarin vs Carlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PanarinCarlsson
3Team record in 5 meetings2
7Points in those games8

Panarin 1G 6A, 18 SOG · Carlsson 1G 7A, 13 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Panarin's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Panarin's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)

On the ice against each other (Panarin's side)

3:06 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Panarin's side

Shot attempts
5–3
62.5%
Expected goals
0.3–0.1
85.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Artemi Panarin and Leo Carlsson
DateScorePanarinCarlsson
2025-12-15NYR 1–4 ANA0G 1A 5S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-28NYR 4–5 ANA0G 2A 2S1G 3A 3S
2024-10-26NYR 2–1 ANA0G 1A 6S0G 1A 2S
2024-01-21NYR 5–2 ANA1G 0A 2S0G 2A 3S
2023-12-15NYR 5–1 ANA0G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PanarinCarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Artemi Panarin

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS2.0 pts
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

FAQ

Should I start Artemi Panarin or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Artemi Panarin's 2.00. Panarin had 84 points in 78 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Artemi Panarin or Leo Carlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Panarin and Carlsson done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Panarin's team went 3–2. Panarin had 7 points (1 goals) and Carlsson had 8 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Panarin or Carlsson?
Against each other, Panarin has won 1 and Carlsson 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →