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Who to start · 2025-26

Artemi Panarin vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Artemi Panarin projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Panarin had 84 points in 78 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Panarin has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Panarin for 2.0 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Artemi Panarin has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Panarin's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, Corsi 54.3%, Fenwick 54.1%.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Transition attempts /60 1.64, Blocked shots 31.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Artemi Panarin

2.00

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Artemi Panarin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPanarinToffoli
Goals (+2)0.800.45
Assists (+1)0.670.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.21
Hits (+0.1)0.010.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.100.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Panarin vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PanarinToffoli
9Team record in 17 meetings8
19Points in those games9

Panarin 8G 11A, 54 SOG · Toffoli 2G 7A, 56 SOG

1Hits on each other1
0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Panarin's side)

5:36 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Panarin's side

Shot attempts
8–3
72.7%
Expected goals
0.3–0.1
70.8%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Artemi Panarin and Tyler Toffoli
DateScorePanarinToffoli
2026-01-23NYR 1–3 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2025-10-23NYR 5–6 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-29NYR 6–1 SJS2G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-14NYR 3–2 SJS0G 1A 5S0G 1A 0S
2024-03-19NYR 2–4 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2024-02-22NYR 5–1 NJD0G 3A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-11-18NYR 5–3 NJD2G 0A 9S0G 1A 5S
2023-02-18NYR 2–3 CGY0G 1A 0S0G 0A 3S
2023-02-06NYR 5–4 CGY0G 2A 3S1G 0A 5S
2021-11-16NYR 3–2 MTL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2021-10-16NYR 3–1 MTL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 4S
2020-02-09NYR 4–1 LAK1G 0A 3S0G 0A 7S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PanarinToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Artemi Panarin

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS2.0 pts
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Artemi Panarin or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Artemi Panarin projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Panarin had 84 points in 78 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Artemi Panarin or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Artemi Panarin leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Panarin and Toffoli done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Panarin's team went 9–8. Panarin had 19 points (8 goals) and Toffoli had 9 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →