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Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Braden Schneider

Auston MatthewsAuston MatthewsMaple Leafs · CentrevsBraden SchneiderBraden SchneiderRangers · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.37.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Schneider had 18 in 82 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Schneider has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Schneider's 1.2.

Auston Matthews has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 58.9%, Goals 27, Power-play share 71.5%.

Schneider's biggest edges: Hits 163, 20+ mph bursts 47, Top skating speed 22.2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Braden Schneider

1.37

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsSchneider
Goals (+2)0.790.04
Assists (+1)0.380.16
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.14
Hits (+0.1)0.070.21
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs Schneider

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsSchneider
7Team record in 12 meetings5
11Points in those games3

Matthews 6G 5A, 46 SOG · Schneider 1G 2A, 9 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other2

Matthews blocked 1 of Schneider's shots; Schneider blocked 2 of Matthews's.

On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)

11:14 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side

Shot attempts
12–9
57.1%
Expected goals
0.8–0.2
78.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and Braden Schneider
DateScoreMatthewsSchneider
2026-03-05TOR 2–6 NYR0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-16TOR 2–1 NYR1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-20TOR 4–3 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-02-28TOR 3–2 NYR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-19TOR 1–4 NYR1G 0A 9S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-02TOR 4–3 NYR0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-19TOR 2–5 NYR2G 0A 5S1G 0A 2S
2023-12-12TOR 7–3 NYR2G 2A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-04-13TOR 3–2 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-25TOR 3–2 NYR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-12-15TOR 1–3 NYR0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2022-01-19TOR 3–6 NYR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsSchneider

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Braden Schneider

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Braden Schneider in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.37. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Schneider had 18 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Braden Schneider?
On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and Schneider done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 7–5. Matthews had 11 points (6 goals) and Schneider had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →