Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Matt Roy

Auston MatthewsAuston MatthewsMaple Leafs · CentrevsMatt RoyMatt RoyCapitals · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Roy has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Roy's 1.7.

Auston Matthews has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 58.9%, Power-play share 71.5%, Goals 27.

Roy's biggest edges: Hits 117, Plus/minus +18, Fenwick 50.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Matt Roy

1.54

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsRoy
Goals (+2)0.790.05
Assists (+1)0.380.20
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.11
Hits (+0.1)0.070.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.631.02

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Auston Matthews and Matt Roy have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsRoy

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to C
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to D
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Matt Roy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Matt Roy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →