Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Auston Matthews vs Nick Suzuki

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Suzuki projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31.

Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Suzuki had 101 in 82 games.

This week Matthews has 1 game left; Suzuki has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Suzuki's 1.7.

Nick Suzuki has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Matthews's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.103, Transition attempts /60 2.09, Faceoff win % 59.7%.

Suzuki's biggest edges: Luck Meter +38, Top skating speed 23.6, Fenwick 54.6%.

Head to head on the dot, Matthews leads Suzuki 111–87.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Nick Suzuki

2.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nick Suzuki has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMatthewsSuzuki
Goals (+2)0.790.66
Assists (+1)0.380.82
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.25
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.360.22
Hits (+0.1)0.070.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.39

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matthews vs Suzuki

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MatthewsSuzuki
19Team record in 37 meetings18
38Points in those games26

Matthews 20G 18A, 151 SOG · Suzuki 8G 18A, 88 SOG

111Faceoffs against each other87

Matthews's offensive zone 44–25 · neutral 32–28 · Matthews's defensive zone 35–34 (2019-20 to 2026-27)

4Hits on each other4
2Shots blocked by the other1

Matthews blocked 2 of Suzuki's shots; Suzuki blocked 1 of Matthews's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)

36:17 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Matthews's side

Shot attempts
35–43
44.9%
Expected goals
2.0–1.6
56.2%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Auston Matthews and Nick Suzuki
DateScoreMatthewsSuzuki
2026-09-29TOR 2–3 MTL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2026-03-10TOR 1–3 MTL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-06TOR 1–2 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-08TOR 5–2 MTL1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-12TOR 1–0 MTL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-18TOR 7–3 MTL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2024-10-09TOR 0–1 MTL0G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-06TOR 4–2 MTL1G 0A 3S1G 1A 6S
2024-03-09TOR 3–2 MTL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-11TOR 6–5 MTL3G 0A 8S0G 1A 3S
2023-04-08TOR 7–1 MTL1G 3A 4S0G 1A 2S
2023-02-18TOR 5–1 MTL0G 2A 2S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 37 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MatthewsSuzuki

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Nick Suzuki

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.7 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Auston Matthews or Nick Suzuki in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Suzuki projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Suzuki had 101 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Auston Matthews or Nick Suzuki?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nick Suzuki leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matthews and Suzuki done against each other?
In 37 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 19–18. Matthews had 38 points (20 goals) and Suzuki had 26 (8 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Suzuki?
Against each other, Matthews has won 111 and Suzuki 87 of their 198 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →