Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Tim Stützle
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tim Stützle projects to 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Stützle had 83 in 80 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Stützle has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Stützle's 1.6.
Tim Stützle has the better number in 24 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.09, Draw Equity /100 +0.103, On-ice PDO 1016.
Stützle's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.3, Corsi 54.4%, Top skating speed 23.5.
Head to head on the dot, Stützle leads Matthews 30–20.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.56
fantasy points per game
Tim Stützle
2.33
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Stützle |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.85 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.68 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Stützle
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 15G 22A, 103 SOG · Stützle 11G 15A, 66 SOG
Matthews's offensive zone 4–8 · neutral 8–14 · Matthews's defensive zone 8–8 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
Matthews blocked 1 of Stützle's shots; Stützle blocked 1 of Matthews's.
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
13:38 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–20
- 23.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.7
- 39.5%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Stützle |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | TOR 2–5 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-12-27 | TOR 7–5 OTT | 1G 2A 9S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-05-01 · PO | TOR 4–2 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-29 · PO | TOR 0–4 OTT | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2025-04-26 · PO | TOR 3–4 OTT | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-24 · PO | TOR 3–2 OTT | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-22 · PO | TOR 3–2 OTT | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-04-20 · PO | TOR 6–2 OTT | 0G 2A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-15 | TOR 2–4 OTT | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-01-25 | TOR 1–2 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-02-10 | TOR 3–5 OTT | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-27 | TOR 2–4 OTT | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 28 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Tim Stützle
1games
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR1.6 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Tim Stützle in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tim Stützle projects to 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Stützle had 83 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Tim Stützle?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tim Stützle leads in 24 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Stützle done against each other?
- In 28 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 16–12. Matthews had 37 points (15 goals) and Stützle had 26 (11 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Stützle?
- Against each other, Matthews has won 20 and Stützle 30 of their 50 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →