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Who to start · 2025-26

Beckett Sennecke vs Bryan Rust

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Beckett Sennecke's 1.64.

Sennecke had 60 points in 82 games; Rust had 65 in 72 games.

This week Sennecke has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rust has 1 left. We project Rust for 2.2 ESPN points to Sennecke's 1.3.

Beckett Sennecke has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Sennecke's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.68, Expected goals 52.9%, Sequence xG 52.6%.

Rust's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.5, Blocked shots 71, Luck Meter +32.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Beckett Sennecke

1.60

fantasy points per game

Bryan Rust

2.28

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Bryan Rust has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSenneckeRust
Goals (+2)0.560.81
Assists (+1)0.450.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.25
Hits (+0.1)0.120.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Sennecke vs Rust

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SenneckeRust
2Team record in 2 meetings0
3Points in those games1

Sennecke 1G 2A, 5 SOG · Rust 0G 1A, 7 SOG

On the ice against each other (Sennecke's side)

9:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Sennecke's side

Shot attempts
8–10
44.4%
Expected goals
0.1–0.5
16.7%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Beckett Sennecke and Bryan Rust
DateScoreSenneckeRust
2025-12-09ANA 4–3 PIT1G 1A 4S0G 0A 6S
2025-10-14ANA 4–3 PIT0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SenneckeRust

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Beckett Sennecke

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

Bryan Rust

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWvs Jakub Dobes (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Beckett Sennecke or Bryan Rust in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Beckett Sennecke's 1.64. Sennecke had 60 points in 82 games; Rust had 65 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Beckett Sennecke or Bryan Rust?
On 2025-26 numbers, Beckett Sennecke leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Sennecke and Rust done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Sennecke's team went 2–0. Sennecke had 3 points (1 goals) and Rust had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →