Who to start · 2025-26
Blake Coleman vs Leo Carlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Blake Coleman's 1.76.
Coleman had 35 points in 69 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.
This week Coleman has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlsson has 1 left. We project Carlsson for 1.6 ESPN points to Coleman's 1.2.
Leo Carlsson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Coleman's biggest edges: Hits 152, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 65.8%, Ascension score 59, Offensive-zone time 44.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Blake Coleman
1.76
fantasy points per game
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Coleman | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.67 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.20 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Coleman vs Carlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Coleman 4G 4A, 25 SOG · Carlsson 1G 5A, 15 SOG
Coleman's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Coleman's defensive zone 1–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Coleman's side)
18:29 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Coleman's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–20
- 31.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.5
- 54.7%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Coleman | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | CGY 5–3 ANA | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-26 | CGY 2–3 ANA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-03-01 | CGY 2–3 ANA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-04-09 | CGY 3–4 ANA | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2025-04-03 | CGY 4–1 ANA | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-01-30 | CGY 4–1 ANA | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-07 | CGY 3–2 ANA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-02 | CGY 3–5 ANA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-12-21 | CGY 3–0 ANA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Blake Coleman
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to C
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Blake Coleman or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Blake Coleman's 1.76. Coleman had 35 points in 69 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Blake Coleman or Leo Carlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Coleman and Carlsson done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Coleman's team went 5–4. Coleman had 8 points (4 goals) and Carlsson had 6 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Coleman or Carlsson?
- Against each other, Coleman has won 1 and Carlsson 2 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →