Who to start · 2025-26
Bo Horvat vs Bryan Rust
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bo Horvat's 2.07.
Horvat had 57 points in 68 games; Rust had 65 in 72 games.
This week Horvat has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rust has 1 left. We project Rust for 2.2 ESPN points to Horvat's 1.5.
Bo Horvat has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Horvat's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 690, Transition attempts /60 1.38, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.001.
Rust's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1019, High-danger chances 51.4%, Offensive-zone start % 63.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Bo Horvat
2.11
fantasy points per game
Bryan Rust
2.28
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Bryan Rust has the edge.
| Points per game from | Horvat | Rust |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.91 | 0.81 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.28 | 0.49 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Horvat vs Rust
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Horvat 8G 11A, 50 SOG · Rust 4G 7A, 56 SOG
Horvat blocked 1 of Rust's shots; Rust blocked 0 of Horvat's.
On the ice against each other (Horvat's side)
16:38 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Horvat's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–21
- 48.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.7
- 37.6%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Horvat | Rust |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | NYI 3–8 PIT | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2026-02-03 | NYI 5–4 PIT | 2G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-18 | NYI 4–2 PIT | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-29 | NYI 2–3 PIT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-12-28 | NYI 6–3 PIT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-17 | NYI 5–4 PIT | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-02-20 | NYI 5–4 PIT | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-09 | NYI 4–3 PIT | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-02-20 | NYI 4–2 PIT | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-02-17 | NYI 5–4 PIT | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2023-01-10 | VAN 4–5 PIT | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2022-10-28 | VAN 5–1 PIT | 2G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Bo Horvat
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ TOROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.5 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)
Bryan Rust
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.2 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWvs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Bo Horvat or Bryan Rust in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Bryan Rust projects to 2.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bo Horvat's 2.07. Horvat had 57 points in 68 games; Rust had 65 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Bo Horvat or Bryan Rust?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Bo Horvat leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Horvat and Rust done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Horvat's team went 13–6. Horvat had 19 points (8 goals) and Rust had 11 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →