Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Bo Horvat vs Leo Carlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bo Horvat's 2.07.

Horvat had 57 points in 68 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.

This week Horvat has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlsson for 1.6 ESPN points to Horvat's 1.5.

Bo Horvat has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Horvat's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.077, Faceoff win % 56.3%, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.001.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29, Offensive-zone start % 65.8%, High-danger chances 51.6%.

Head to head on the dot, Horvat leads Carlsson 10–3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Bo Horvat

2.07

fantasy points per game

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHorvatCarlsson
Goals (+2)0.850.90
Assists (+1)0.420.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.26
Hits (+0.1)0.080.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Horvat vs Carlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HorvatCarlsson
2Team record in 5 meetings3
2Points in those games5

Horvat 0G 2A, 17 SOG · Carlsson 2G 3A, 11 SOG

10Faceoffs against each other3

Horvat's offensive zone 5–1 · neutral 4–2 · Horvat's defensive zone 1–0 (2023-24 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Horvat's side)

6:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Horvat's side

Shot attempts
3–11
21.4%
Expected goals
0.1–0.4
23.5%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Bo Horvat and Leo Carlsson
DateScoreHorvatCarlsson
2026-03-04NYI 1–5 ANA0G 0A 5S0G 1A 3S
2025-12-11NYI 5–2 ANA0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-09NYI 1–4 ANA0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2024-10-29NYI 1–3 ANA0G 1A 2S1G 0A 1S
2023-12-13NYI 4–3 ANA0G 1A 4S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HorvatCarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Bo Horvat

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.5 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

FAQ

Should I start Bo Horvat or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bo Horvat's 2.07. Horvat had 57 points in 68 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Bo Horvat or Leo Carlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Bo Horvat leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Horvat and Carlsson done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Horvat's team went 2–3. Horvat had 2 points (0 goals) and Carlsson had 5 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Horvat or Carlsson?
Against each other, Horvat has won 10 and Carlsson 3 of their 13 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →