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Who to start · 2025-26

Brad Marchand vs Brady Tkachuk

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16.

Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games.

This week Marchand has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tkachuk has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Marchand's 1.8.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Marchand's biggest edges: Goals above expected +6.9, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.33, Luck Meter +50.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.018, High-danger chances 60.8%, Fenwick 59.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brad Marchand

2.26

fantasy points per game

Brady Tkachuk

2.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchandTkachuk
Goals (+2)1.040.73
Assists (+1)0.520.62
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.37
Hits (+0.1)0.070.27
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchand vs Tkachuk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchandTkachuk
12Team record in 18 meetings6
18Points in those games9

Marchand 8G 10A, 50 SOG · Tkachuk 4G 5A, 76 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

Marchand blocked 1 of Tkachuk's shots; Tkachuk blocked 0 of Marchand's.

On the ice against each other (Marchand's side)

2:21 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Marchand's side

Shot attempts
2–5
28.6%
Expected goals
0.0–0.3
0.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Brad Marchand and Brady Tkachuk
DateScoreMarchandTkachuk
2025-10-11FLA 6–2 OTT1G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-23BOS 2–0 OTT0G 0A 4S0G 0A 5S
2025-01-18BOS 5–6 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 8S
2024-11-09BOS 2–3 OTT1G 0A 3S1G 1A 12S
2024-04-16BOS 1–3 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-03-19BOS 6–2 OTT0G 0A 1S1G 0A 8S
2024-01-25BOS 3–2 OTT1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-03-21BOS 2–1 OTT0G 1A 2S0G 0A 6S
2023-02-20BOS 3–1 OTT0G 1A 4S0G 0A 4S
2022-12-27BOS 2–3 OTT0G 0A 5S0G 0A 5S
2022-04-14BOS 2–3 OTT0G 0A 3S1G 1A 6S
2021-11-09BOS 3–2 OTT1G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchandTkachuk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brad Marchand

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.8 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Brad Marchand or Brady Tkachuk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brad Marchand or Brady Tkachuk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchand and Tkachuk done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 12–6. Marchand had 18 points (8 goals) and Tkachuk had 9 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →