Who to start · 2025-26
Brad Marchand vs Connor Bedard
In 2025-26, Brad Marchand scored 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor Bedard's 2.24.
Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games.
This week Marchand has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Bedard has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Marchand's 1.8.
Brad Marchand has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Marchand's biggest edges: Goals above expected +6.9, Corsi 49.9%, Scoring chances 49.7%.
Bedard's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 315, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005, Hardest shot 90.7.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brad Marchand
2.26
fantasy points per game
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brad Marchand has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marchand | Bedard |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 0.87 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marchand vs Bedard
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marchand 2G 1A, 12 SOG · Bedard 1G 0A, 13 SOG
Marchand's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Marchand's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)
Marchand blocked 0 of Bedard's shots; Bedard blocked 1 of Marchand's.
On the ice against each other (Marchand's side)
10:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marchand's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–4
- 80.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.5
- 64.0%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marchand | Bedard |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | FLA 5–1 CHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-07 | FLA 3–2 CHI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-04 | BOS 4–2 CHI | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-24 | BOS 3–0 CHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-11 | BOS 3–1 CHI | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 6S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brad Marchand
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.8 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTAOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brad Marchand or Connor Bedard in fantasy hockey?
- In 2025-26, Brad Marchand scored 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor Bedard's 2.24. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brad Marchand or Connor Bedard?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brad Marchand leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marchand and Bedard done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 5–0. Marchand had 3 points (2 goals) and Bedard had 1 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Marchand or Bedard?
- Against each other, Marchand has won 0 and Bedard 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →