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Who to start · 2025-26

Brad Marchand vs John Tavares

Brad MarchandBrad MarchandPanthers · Left wingvsJohn TavaresJohn TavaresMaple Leafs · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80.

Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Tavares had 71 in 82 games.

This week Marchand has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tavares has 1 left. We project Marchand for 1.8 ESPN points to Tavares's 1.7.

Brad Marchand has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Marchand's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.94, Goals above expected +6.9, Luck Meter +50.

Tavares's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 801, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.027, Hardest shot 88.5.

Head to head on the dot, Tavares leads Marchand 10–7.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brad Marchand

2.26

fantasy points per game

John Tavares

1.84

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brad Marchand has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchandTavares
Goals (+2)1.040.76
Assists (+1)0.520.49
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.23
Hits (+0.1)0.070.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchand vs Tavares

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchandTavares
29Team record in 48 meetings19
58Points in those games29

Marchand 21G 37A, 143 SOG · Tavares 14G 15A, 143 SOG

7Faceoffs against each other10

Marchand's offensive zone 4–6 · neutral 1–1 · Marchand's defensive zone 2–3 (2018-19 to 2023-24)

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other4

Marchand blocked 0 of Tavares's shots; Tavares blocked 4 of Marchand's.

1Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Marchand's side)

6:47 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Marchand's side

Shot attempts
2–9
18.2%
Expected goals
0.0–0.3
8.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Brad Marchand and John Tavares
DateScoreMarchandTavares
2026-02-26FLA 5–1 TOR2G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2026-01-06FLA 1–4 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-12-02FLA 1–4 TOR0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2025-05-18 · POFLA 6–1 TOR1G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-05-16 · POFLA 0–2 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-05-14 · POFLA 6–1 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-05-11 · POFLA 2–0 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2025-05-09 · POFLA 5–4 TOR1G 0A 1S2G 0A 6S
2025-05-07 · POFLA 3–4 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-05-05 · POFLA 4–5 TOR0G 2A 1S0G 0A 4S
2025-04-08FLA 3–1 TOR0G 1A 4S1G 0A 2S
2025-04-02FLA 2–3 TOR0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 48 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchandTavares

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brad Marchand

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.8 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

John Tavares

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Brad Marchand or John Tavares in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Tavares had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brad Marchand or John Tavares?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brad Marchand leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchand and Tavares done against each other?
In 48 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 29–19. Marchand had 58 points (21 goals) and Tavares had 29 (14 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Marchand or Tavares?
Against each other, Marchand has won 7 and Tavares 10 of their 17 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →