Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Brad Marchand vs Mikhail Sergachev

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15.

Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games.

This week Marchand has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Sergachev has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to Marchand's 1.8.

Mikhail Sergachev has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Marchand's biggest edges: Goals above expected +6.9, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.33, Transition attempts /60 1.94.

Sergachev's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 125, Hardest shot 99.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brad Marchand

2.26

fantasy points per game

Mikhail Sergachev

2.12

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brad Marchand has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchandSergachev
Goals (+2)1.040.26
Assists (+1)0.520.63
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.20
Hits (+0.1)0.070.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.80

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchand vs Sergachev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchandSergachev
15Team record in 29 meetings14
33Points in those games11

Marchand 11G 22A, 83 SOG · Sergachev 3G 8A, 42 SOG

1Hits on each other5
1Shots blocked by the other0

Marchand blocked 1 of Sergachev's shots; Sergachev blocked 0 of Marchand's.

2Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Marchand's side)

12:16 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marchand's side

Shot attempts
15–9
62.5%
Expected goals
0.4–0.7
34.3%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Brad Marchand and Mikhail Sergachev
DateScoreMarchandSergachev
2026-01-27FLA 3–4 UTA0G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2025-12-10FLA 4–3 UTA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-28FLA 2–1 UTA0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-21BOS 1–0 UTA0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-19BOS 1–2 UTA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2023-11-20BOS 4–5 TBL0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-03-25BOS 2–1 TBL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 4S
2023-01-26BOS 2–3 TBL1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-29BOS 3–1 TBL1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-21BOS 5–3 TBL1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-08BOS 2–1 TBL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-24BOS 3–2 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 29 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchandSergachev

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brad Marchand

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.8 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Mikhail Sergachev

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Brad Marchand or Mikhail Sergachev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mikhail Sergachev's 2.15. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Sergachev had 59 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brad Marchand or Mikhail Sergachev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikhail Sergachev leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchand and Sergachev done against each other?
In 29 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 15–14. Marchand had 33 points (11 goals) and Sergachev had 11 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →