Who to start · 2025-26
Brad Marchand vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Marchand has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left. We project Marchand for 1.5 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.3.
Brad Marchand has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Marchand's biggest edges: Goals above expected +6.9, Penalty minutes 38, 20+ mph bursts 104.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Hardest shot 89.2, Blocked shots 31.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brad Marchand
2.26
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.43
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brad Marchand has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marchand | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 0.48 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.52 | 0.38 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marchand vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marchand 4G 10A, 26 SOG · Toffoli 4G 6A, 32 SOG
Marchand's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Marchand's defensive zone 0–0 (2017-18)
On the ice against each other (Marchand's side)
1:09 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Marchand's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–2
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.4
- 5.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marchand | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | FLA 1–3 SJS | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-15 | BOS 3–0 NJD | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-30 | BOS 5–2 NJD | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-12-13 | BOS 1–2 NJD | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-02-28 | BOS 4–3 CGY | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2022-11-10 | BOS 3–1 CGY | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-11-14 | BOS 5–2 MTL | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2020-02-22 | BOS 3–9 VAN | 0G 1A 1S | 2G 1A 5S |
| 2019-12-17 | BOS 3–4 LAK | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2019-02-16 | BOS 4–2 LAK | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-02-09 | BOS 5–4 LAK | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2017-10-28 | BOS 1–2 LAK | 1G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 7S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brad Marchand
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSSchedule edge −1.0 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.5 pts
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.3 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brad Marchand or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brad Marchand projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Marchand had 54 points in 52 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brad Marchand or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brad Marchand leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marchand and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Marchand's team went 7–5. Marchand had 14 points (4 goals) and Toffoli had 10 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Marchand or Toffoli?
- Against each other, Marchand has won 1 and Toffoli 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →