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Who to start · 2025-26

Braden Schneider vs Connor McDavid

Braden SchneiderBraden SchneiderRangers · DefencevsConnor McDavidConnor McDavidOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.38.

Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.

This week Schneider has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; McDavid has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Schneider's 1.2.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 30 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Schneider's biggest edges: Hits 163, Blocked shots 140, Hardest shot 92.3.

McDavid's biggest edges: Ascension score 62, Expected goals 56.5%, Sequence xG 56.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Braden Schneider

1.38

fantasy points per game

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSchneiderMcDavid
Goals (+2)0.041.15
Assists (+1)0.161.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.35
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.35
Hits (+0.1)0.220.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Schneider vs McDavid

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchneiderMcDavid
2Team record in 7 meetings5
2Points in those games9

Schneider 1G 1A, 5 SOG · McDavid 3G 6A, 20 SOG

On the ice against each other (Schneider's side)

11:20 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Schneider's side

Shot attempts
15–10
60.0%
Expected goals
0.4–0.5
42.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Braden Schneider and Connor McDavid
DateScoreSchneiderMcDavid
2025-10-30NYR 4–3 EDM1G 1A 1S0G 0A 6S
2025-10-14NYR 0–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-16NYR 1–3 EDM0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2024-11-23NYR 2–6 EDM0G 0A 0S2G 1A 3S
2023-12-22NYR 3–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-02-17NYR 5–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 2A 4S
2022-11-26NYR 3–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchneiderMcDavid

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Braden Schneider

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Braden Schneider or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Braden Schneider's 1.38. Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Braden Schneider or Connor McDavid?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 30 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schneider and McDavid done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Schneider's team went 2–5. Schneider had 2 points (1 goals) and McDavid had 9 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →