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Who to start · 2025-26

Braden Schneider vs Noah Cates

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Braden Schneider projects to 1.37 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week Schneider has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Cates has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Cates for 1.5 ESPN points to Schneider's 1.2.

Noah Cates has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Schneider's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 47, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.14, Hardest shot 92.3.

Cates's biggest edges: Expected goals 53.9%, Sequence xG 53.6%, Plus/minus +26.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Braden Schneider

1.37

fantasy points per game

Noah Cates

1.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Braden Schneider has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSchneiderCates
Goals (+2)0.040.39
Assists (+1)0.160.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.16
Hits (+0.1)0.210.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Schneider vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SchneiderCates
11Team record in 15 meetings4
6Points in those games5

Schneider 1G 5A, 17 SOG · Cates 1G 4A, 24 SOG

4Hits on each other3
2Shots blocked by the other1

Schneider blocked 2 of Cates's shots; Cates blocked 1 of Schneider's.

On the ice against each other (Schneider's side)

16:08 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Schneider's side

Shot attempts
14–19
42.4%
Expected goals
1.2–0.5
70.7%
Goals
4–0

Games against each other

Games between Braden Schneider and Noah Cates
DateScoreSchneiderCates
2026-03-09NYR 6–2 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2026-02-26NYR 2–3 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 5S
2026-01-17NYR 6–3 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-20NYR 5–4 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-04-09NYR 5–8 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-23NYR 6–1 PHI1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-29NYR 1–3 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-11NYR 1–4 PHI0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-03-26NYR 6–5 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-24NYR 2–1 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-24NYR 3–1 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-01NYR 3–2 PHI0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SchneiderCates

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Braden Schneider

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Braden Schneider or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Braden Schneider projects to 1.37 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Schneider had 18 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Braden Schneider or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Cates leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Schneider and Cates done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Schneider's team went 11–4. Schneider had 6 points (1 goals) and Cates had 5 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →