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Who to start · 2025-26

Brady Tkachuk vs Connor Bedard

Brady TkachukBrady TkachukPanthers · Left wingvsConnor BedardConnor BedardBlackhawks · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16.

Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games.

This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Bedard has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Bedard for 2.4 ESPN points to Tkachuk's 2.3.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 18 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: High-danger chances 60.8%, Scoring chances 61.3%, Fenwick 59.6%.

Bedard's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 195, On-ice PDO 1008, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.25.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brady Tkachuk

2.32

fantasy points per game

Connor Bedard

2.24

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTkachukBedard
Goals (+2)0.730.87
Assists (+1)0.620.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.370.33
Hits (+0.1)0.270.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Bedard

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TkachukBedard
2Team record in 3 meetings1
1Points in those games2

Tkachuk 1G 0A, 8 SOG · Bedard 1G 1A, 9 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other2

Tkachuk's offensive zone 0–2 · neutral 0–0 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)

Games against each other

Games between Brady Tkachuk and Connor Bedard
DateScoreTkachukBedard
2025-03-05OTT 4–3 CHI1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-28OTT 2–0 CHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-17OTT 2–3 CHI0G 0A 5S1G 1A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TkachukBedard

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Connor Bedard

3games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.4 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Connor Bedard in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor Bedard projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Connor Bedard?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 18 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tkachuk and Bedard done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 2–1. Tkachuk had 1 points (1 goals) and Bedard had 2 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Bedard?
Against each other, Tkachuk has won 0 and Bedard 2 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →