Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Connor McDavid
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; McDavid has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to McDavid's 2.3.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Hardest shot 92.3, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.018, Hits 162.
McDavid's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 681, Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, Top skating speed 24.6.
Head to head on the dot, Tkachuk leads McDavid 7–7.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.16
fantasy points per game
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.65 | 1.15 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 1.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs McDavid
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 5G 13A, 72 SOG · McDavid 11G 27A, 87 SOG
Tkachuk's offensive zone 5–4 · neutral 2–3 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 0–0 (2018-19 to 2024-25)
Tkachuk blocked 2 of McDavid's shots; McDavid blocked 0 of Tkachuk's.
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
5:26 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–7
- 36.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.5
- 35.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | McDavid |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | OTT 4–5 EDM | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2024-12-22 | OTT 1–3 EDM | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-19 | OTT 2–5 EDM | 0G 1A 1S | 2G 1A 5S |
| 2024-03-24 | OTT 5–3 EDM | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-01-06 | OTT 1–3 EDM | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 8S |
| 2023-03-14 | OTT 3–6 EDM | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2023-02-11 | OTT 3–6 EDM | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2022-01-31 | OTT 3–2 EDM | 0G 2A 5S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2022-01-15 | OTT 6–4 EDM | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2021-04-08 | OTT 1–3 EDM | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2021-04-07 | OTT 2–4 EDM | 0G 1A 6S | 1G 3A 5S |
| 2021-03-12 | OTT 2–6 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 2S |
Latest 12 of 21 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brady Tkachuk's 2.16. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Connor McDavid?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and McDavid done against each other?
- In 21 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 5–16. Tkachuk had 18 points (5 goals) and McDavid had 38 (11 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or McDavid?
- Against each other, Tkachuk has won 7 and McDavid 7 of their 14 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →