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Who to start · 2025-26

Brady Tkachuk vs Matt Roy

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games.

This week Tkachuk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Roy has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Roy's 1.8.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 48.6%, Penalty minutes 71, Offensive-zone start % 68.6%.

Roy's biggest edges: Blocked shots 146, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18, On-ice PDO 1008.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brady Tkachuk

2.16

fantasy points per game

Matt Roy

1.54

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTkachukRoy
Goals (+2)0.650.05
Assists (+1)0.540.20
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.11
Hits (+0.1)0.290.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.171.02

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Roy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TkachukRoy
4Team record in 13 meetings9
6Points in those games6

Tkachuk 3G 3A, 45 SOG · Roy 1G 5A, 17 SOG

6Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other6

Tkachuk blocked 1 of Roy's shots; Roy blocked 6 of Tkachuk's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)

10:24 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side

Shot attempts
11–9
55.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.4
57.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Brady Tkachuk and Matt Roy
DateScoreTkachukRoy
2026-03-18OTT 1–4 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-01OTT 4–3 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-03OTT 4–5 WSH1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-30OTT 5–4 WSH0G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-16OTT 0–1 WSH0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-07OTT 3–4 LAK1G 0A 5S0G 2A 0S
2023-11-02OTT 2–3 LAK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-06OTT 2–5 LAK0G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2022-11-27OTT 3–2 LAK1G 1A 7S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-27OTT 2–4 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2021-11-11OTT 0–2 LAK0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2020-03-11OTT 2–3 LAK0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TkachukRoy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Matt Roy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Matt Roy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tkachuk and Roy done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 4–9. Tkachuk had 6 points (3 goals) and Roy had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →