Who to start · 2025-26
Brady Tkachuk vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.
Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.
This week Tkachuk has 1 game left; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tkachuk for 1.9 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.
Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 23 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Tkachuk's biggest edges: Hits 162, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.018, Fenwick 59.6%.
Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.1, Top skating speed 22.8, Blocked shots 31.
Head to head on the dot, Tkachuk leads Nugent-Hopkins 5–5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brady Tkachuk
2.32
fantasy points per game
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1.70
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tkachuk | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Nugent-Hopkins
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tkachuk 5G 12A, 60 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 5G 6A, 46 SOG
Tkachuk's offensive zone 4–3 · neutral 1–2 · Tkachuk's defensive zone 0–0 (2020-21 to 2022-23)
Tkachuk blocked 1 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 0 of Tkachuk's.
On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)
4:47 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tkachuk's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–3
- 62.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.3
- 40.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tkachuk | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | OTT 4–5 EDM | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-11-19 | OTT 2–5 EDM | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-24 | OTT 5–3 EDM | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-01-06 | OTT 1–3 EDM | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2023-03-14 | OTT 3–6 EDM | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-02-11 | OTT 3–6 EDM | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2022-01-31 | OTT 3–2 EDM | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-04-07 | OTT 2–4 EDM | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-03-12 | OTT 2–6 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-03-10 | OTT 1–7 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2021-03-08 | OTT 2–3 EDM | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-02-09 | OTT 2–3 EDM | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brady Tkachuk
3games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.9 ptsLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 23 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tkachuk and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 3–14. Tkachuk had 17 points (5 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 11 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tkachuk or Nugent-Hopkins?
- Against each other, Tkachuk has won 5 and Nugent-Hopkins 5 of their 10 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →