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Who to start · 2025-26

Brady Tkachuk vs Will Smith

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94.

Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.

This week Tkachuk has 1 game left; Smith has 1 left. We project Tkachuk for 2.3 ESPN points to Smith's 1.7.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: High-danger chances 60.8%, Hits 162, Penalty minutes 71.

Smith's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1033, Goals above expected +2.0, Ascension score 64.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Brady Tkachuk

2.16

fantasy points per game

Will Smith

1.94

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTkachukSmith
Goals (+2)0.650.90
Assists (+1)0.540.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.24
Hits (+0.1)0.290.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.08

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tkachuk vs Smith

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TkachukSmith
3Team record in 4 meetings1
5Points in those games7

Tkachuk 2G 3A, 13 SOG · Smith 4G 3A, 10 SOG

On the ice against each other (Tkachuk's side)

5:32 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Tkachuk's side

Shot attempts
5–3
62.5%
Expected goals
0.2–0.1
68.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Brady Tkachuk and Will Smith
DateScoreTkachukSmith
2026-10-01FLA 3–4 SJS0G 0A 4S2G 1A 3S
2026-03-15OTT 7–4 SJS1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-01OTT 5–3 SJS1G 0A 6S1G 1A 2S
2024-11-27OTT 4–3 SJS0G 2A 1S1G 1A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TkachukSmith

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts

Will Smith

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.7 pts

FAQ

Should I start Brady Tkachuk or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94. Tkachuk had 59 points in 60 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Brady Tkachuk or Will Smith?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tkachuk and Smith done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Tkachuk's team went 3–1. Tkachuk had 5 points (2 goals) and Smith had 7 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →