Who to start · 2025-26
Brent Burns vs Christian Dvorak
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Christian Dvorak projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38.
Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games.
This week Burns has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dvorak has 1 left. We project Dvorak for 1.1 ESPN points to Burns's 0.9.
Brent Burns has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Burns's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.8, Corsi 55.6%, Fenwick 55.1%.
Dvorak's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 199, Ice time per game 18:28, Blocked shots 52.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brent Burns
1.38
fantasy points per game
Christian Dvorak
1.42
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Christian Dvorak has the edge.
| Points per game from | Burns | Dvorak |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.55 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Burns vs Dvorak
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Burns 2G 12A, 76 SOG · Dvorak 4G 10A, 37 SOG
Burns blocked 0 of Dvorak's shots; Dvorak blocked 2 of Burns's.
On the ice against each other (Burns's side)
12:13 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Burns's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–20
- 39.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–1.2
- 30.6%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Burns | Dvorak |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | COL 3–7 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-07 | COL 3–2 PHI | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-04-16 | CAR 2–4 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-28 | CAR 4–1 MTL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-02-25 | CAR 0–4 MTL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-28 | CAR 5–3 MTL | 0G 3A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-07 | CAR 4–3 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-02-16 | CAR 6–2 MTL | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-10-28 | SJS 0–4 MTL | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-10-19 | SJS 5–0 MTL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-05-08 | SJS 4–5 ARI | 0G 0A 6S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2021-05-07 | SJS 2–5 ARI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brent Burns
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows 3rd-most FP to DLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Christian Dvorak
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brent Burns or Christian Dvorak in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Christian Dvorak projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Brent Burns's 1.38. Burns had 35 points in 82 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brent Burns or Christian Dvorak?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brent Burns leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Burns and Dvorak done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Burns's team went 13–12. Burns had 14 points (2 goals) and Dvorak had 14 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →